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How I Screwed Up My MOS Short

Posted by Satuki On November - 14 - 2009

Normally Fridays are somewhat flat because most traders are not in the mood for trading. I guess it is the same for most other professions. People start to plan on Friday for what they are going to do over the weekend.  It is not different for traders.  However, this Friday (11/13/09) was somewhat more active than usual.  For day traders, especially for traders like me who like to flip to either side of a trade(for example, short SUN now and long SUN 10 minutes later), volatility is key. I do not care which direction the market goes as long as it is not flat.  I heard you could even make money trading options when the market is flat.

 

So the general market was good for us on Friday. If you pull out the chart of SPY, a proxy for S&P500,  a decent rally in the AM and a decent drop in the PM were clearly visible. I pay attention to the general market closely because it has impact on a lot of stocks. However I do not trade the general market exclusively. Or I would go trade E-Mini. You have a lot fewer opportunities to trade E-Mini than regular stocks because stocks with significant news do not move with the market such as GENZ we saw on Friday. Of course, one good thing about trading E-Mini is that all you have to watch closely is the E-Mini Index.  Most stocks I choose to trade every day are news driven. I have subscribed to a few paid news services, which contribute a lot to my daily picks.

 

Now let’s have a look at the RHB long trade I took in the AM.  RHB, RehabCare Group, is a provider of rehabilitation program management services. On Friday, RHB announced that it would offer 5.4 million shares of its common stock at $24 each to fund its acquisition of Triumph HealthCare.  The market welcomed it by gaping it up.  In addition, the stock went up against the general market on Thursday, which implied relative strength. Here is the screenshot that captured my entry and exit.

 

Click to have a better view 

 

 

One of the screw-ups was my short in MOS. I waited long enough just to be shaken out right before it started a good drop in the afternoon. I waited almost 2 hours and it started to edge lower around 2 pm.  I thought my patience was paying off.  However, this guy shook me off of his back and started moving lower without looking back for a while.   What was the problem?  I was too eager to move my stop loss down. I take pride in my risk control, which backfires sometimes ^_^ .  At least 200 bucks were left on the table.

 

 

 

Another one was SUN.  I flip flopped this stock a few times.  If you followed my tweets or watched my portfolio closely, you know that I screwed up the SUN long trade before the close.  I dumped my long position around 3:40 PM and it started to move up 2 minutes later.  Another 100+ was left on the table. The day ended fine with 300+ in my pocket. But it could be way better (double) if I did this, that and such….    In the stock market (any trading market), we seem to have endless “ifs” and “buts”.

 

BTW, all these stocks are liquid enough for me to scale to a few thousand shares per trade. For example, the volume of RHB was 4.8 Million,  MOS 6.5M, CRM 2.4M, SUN 5 M, BUCY 3M.  I normally do not trade anything that has an average daily volume less than 1 Million shares and price lower than $25 (used to be 30). It would be much nicer if I had 2000 shares of RHB long instead of 300 shares. I do not have the confidence now. But I promise you it will not take too long before you see me hit that size.  That is exactly why I do not trade thin stocks. My trading is meant to scale.

 

Have a wonderful weekend.


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  • Rohan
    Which news services you have subscribed to? Aren't there too many news to go through? How do you select a particular one?
  • Yes, sometimes they are overwhelming. I have 4 subscriptions, 2 free and 2 paid.
    2 Free ones are Comtex and Reuters Fundamentals, which are free with TradeStation. I use them only for after hours studies

    One of the paid services is Dow Jones News Service through TradeStation, which is 95 bucks a month. I basically use this guy for my day trading. I only pay attention to stocks that I like such as big names, nicely priced and liquidity. On top of those, I check their price action and volume right after I see the news. I personally never have an opinion about a piece of news.

    The other paid is the IBD eTables from investors.com. It is cheap compared with Dow Jones News. It is good for swing trading which I do for my IRA accounts. And it also keeps me informed about the overall market directions too.


    All these services are big names. I do not trusts small news outlets.
  • Rohan
    I observed you were not active until end of the session today. And suddenly you short GS and RIMM and made good money. I missed it. :( Being your regular follower I have a request for you. Can you keep us posted about what stocks are under your radar and you are only waiting for the perfect time to get into it?
  • Actually, I warned on Twitter twice about GS and RIMM way ahead of those trades.

    The first one was Nov. 16 at 12:20 PM
    The second one was Nov.16 at 2:43 PM and 2:46 PM.

    See here http://www.stocktwits.com/u/trader_mom
  • Rohan
    That's great. If would be better if you mention whether you are looking for Short or long position.
  • Dan de Man
    Hi Trader Mom,

    Great website! Keep up the great work. I am a swing trader with a few years experience under my belt. Personally I don't find anything wrong with leaving money on the table except the psychological loss. I would probably have covered my MOS position too if I was a day trader. But, one thing I've learned as a swing trader is that if I get shaken off the wave, I can always get back on. Or is that against your rules? Just food for thought.

    Thanks for your time and have a great weekend.

    Cheers,
    Dan
  • There wasn't too much room and time for me to get back into that trade. It is possible for swing trading since you shoot for a relatively big move. When I was debating with myself if I should get back into that trade, It kept dropping. Every bit it dropped added to my risk.
  • Alutii
    RHB looks like a nice ascending triangle
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