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Experiment: Trading Automation of SRS and FAZ

Posted by Satuki On April - 19 - 2009

I am going to have an experiment here to test out automation of trading SRS and FAZ.  I do not know if it works.  It just might. I will open 2 small positions, 5k each in SRS and FAZ.

 

The set-up is simple.  I am looking for an engulfing bar using the 60 min charts.   The engulfing bar must be big enough to engulf(cover) the last significant red bar. A market order will be sent right after the close of the engulfing bar.   Here is the illustration of the engulfing pattern.   

 

Here is the Set-Up

  • Go long right after the close of the 60 min engulfing bar
  • Stop Loss will be 5%. If it gaps down by 10% and it will be considered 2 losers in row. 
  • And the risk/reward ratio will be 1:5.   That makes it 5%:25% 

 

A good outcome will be anything that I do not have 5 losers in a row. The experiment will finish either when one hits the target before sustaining 5 losers in a row or when it loses 5 times in a row. It will start from Monday.  The computer will totally take emotion control out of my hand.  Let’s see how it works. I think it is going to beat me.  The trades will be excluded from my portfolio.   Feel free to ask me questions.

 

Here are the 60 min charts of SRS and FAZ at the end of 4/17/2008.

 

 

Here is the ongoing experiment:  Day 1 Day 2


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  • Paul
    I find your blog great! SOOOO interested in this automation experiment of yours. Please keep me posted......and thanks!
  • EasyE
    I have been thinking about developing a test like this for some time, however I was going to base it on resistance and support points of the various indexes.... looking forward to seeing the outcome.
  • I will update this post every day until the experiment finishes. I might run some experiments using other patterns.
  • Searcher
    "I am looking for an engulfing bar using the 60 min charts."

    when you are using engulfing bar as bullish indicator
    what bar are you using as bearish indicator? Here on candlesticker are many bearish indicators, which is the best?
  • The engulfing bar can be used as a bearish indicator too. See here http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs44.asp. I like the engulfing bar pattern. Dark Cloud is also fantastic. http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs48.asp
  • Nancy
    I want to add you on Twitter...... but having a problem of doing it.. can you help?
  • Nancy, I can see you on Twitter. You are all set.
  • This will be very interesting, I am riding positions in both going into Monday!

    <abbr>Ray The Money Man’s last blog post..Not Yet, Not Yet......</abbr>
  • camtrader
    What are you using to automate the trades? TradeStation, Ninjatrader, etc.?
  • I use tradestation. I will monitor it closely just in case it malfunctions. Sometime it does.
  • camtrader
    Perhaps you should try back testing the strategy before committing real money to it?
  • I already did. I have to test it with real money now. They are very small positions. I will also evaluate Ninjatrader. It seems like a very solid platform. It works with Interactive brokers with which I might open another account
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