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Fallen Soldiers: FAZ and SRS

Posted by Satuki On April - 16 - 2009

The market moved higher today  led by the technology sector.  Technology heavy weights such as RIMM, APPL and MSFT all moved higher significantly.  Due to their mega-market caps, a 3-5% move is huge.  One reason that the market moved up today is that people were betting that Google would give good numbers.  Google’s numbers are out.  The market’s reaction is kind of tepid as we can see from the price action after the market hours.

 

It was another boring day for me. I am kind of flat after 2 trades.  I went long on FAZ and shorted GS as you can see from my portfolio.  I was on the wrong side of the fence today. But I managed to stay flat, which is very important. My monthly goal is that I have 3-4 solid trades a month and the others cancel each other.  Therefore, a good number of my trades will either be closed without hitting their targets or at a small loss.

 

Poor FAZ has almost become a penny stock. It was over 100 in March.  Relaxing of the mark to market accounting method killed our beloved FAZ. Now the crooks at those banks can write whatever value they think their rotting assets are worth.  You and I are not going to fight them because we will not win.  Instead, we will join them to take the path of the least resistance. SRS has bee experiencing the death spiral too.  We will have to face a possible reality that they might never return to half of what they used to be. These fallen soldiers deserve a proper burial.  They might be resurrected in the future and rumble on the Wall Street again. But for now, may they rest in peace.

 

I will be day trading them only


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  • Mom,

    I think the better issue is what vehicle to use and when.

    Personally, I thought SRS was doomed from the start today due to action in many of the underlyings. Thats a big problem trying to use ETF's for financials right now, as well. The group is no longer trading lock in step like it has been.

    Also, right now there is a trend for the market to start rallying aroung 11-12.

    I suspect we're getting close here to a top. I know several of the Hedge Fund guys I trade with went to cash today after being extremely aggressive on the long side for weeks. I really don't care though either way. Just don't short strength or buy weakness in this market. That seems to work so well I don't understand why I'm not pressing it more.

    Anyway, just one mans opinion.

    Have a good weekend.

    <abbr>traderx’s last blog post..Week ending 4-17</abbr>
  • You are doing fantastic. Do not press too hard. I could increase my position size too. But I do no want to do it before I can statistically prove that my system works consistently. One good thing is that I have no pressure to make the ends meet.

    I am trading my system and focusing on executions. I try very hard to forget that I am trading with money. I need to train myself to a point when I will act/think/feel like paper trading no matter how much money I put into it. Or simply put, trade like a machine
  • Yes, I agree you have to know what your doing works. For me, I have 8-9 of experience and there is no question in my mind that what we do works. I think my biggest issue is that nagging fear that I know as soon as I size up I'll hit a rough patch.
    I shouldn't let that bother me and yet I do. Once I conquer this I'm certain my results will be much better over time.

    I think the big difference between your style and mine is I don't use a system. At least not a system based on technicals. I trade based off price action, news, market sentiment, trends, etc. Relative strength/weakness is my bread and butter.

    <abbr>traderx’s last blog post..Week ending 4-17</abbr>
  • Definitely! Fear and greed are 2 of the biggest road blocks all traders have to face.
  • EasyE
    No doubt we are in an uptread... and no doubt this is still a bear.

    I have been sticking with day trading as well for the most part, holding a few items here and there for a couple of days maybe. Although I have been holding ERY for about 2 weeks!!! Bought it at 30-ish.... and my sell limit nor stop have yet to hit. This is normally not like me, but discipline is discipline and unless an event occurs that causes me to deviate from my preset plan, I shall continue to hold.... this thing is either gonna hit 28-ish or 36.50 before I drop it....and it has been close to both.
  • Discipline is discipline. I think this is the most important trading rule. Stick with it. You will prevail
  • EasyE
    TIme to jump to the other side! Your beloved bear funds will be coming back, but in the mean time, you can always play the bulls. No point in fighting the trend.
  • I was not trying to fight the trend. It seems that we are in a short-term uptrend. But we are still in a bear market. Shorting the market is actually following the big trend if you ask me.

    Of course, timing is key here. Even if you are right about the trend, you still could get killed if your timing is wrong. The market has moved from 6500 to 8000. A correction could happen anytime for the bulls. It is risky for me to open swing long positions. That is why I strictly day trade for the time being.
  • Fighting these financials to the downside is very tough right now. With GE and C in the morning that should provide some more fireworks in the space.The key is to try and avoid all the headfakes which is very difficult. Especially on a day like today. JPM looked dead at least twice and then went on a terror. That seems to be the norm anymore. BAC did that yesterday.

    For me, I shorted JPM, BAC and MS this morning at various times. Had a real nice win on JPM until it bounced out of nowhere. Overall just a tiny profit on the three. Made all my money shorting ISRG. Talk about a wild ride. Whew! Didn't make a trade after about 11am. Boring, boring day.

    <abbr>traderx’s last blog post..Fear!</abbr>
  • I am glad that you are green today. I have been expecting a correction in these financials. They just do not budge.

    Serious condolence to FAZ and SRS. I am not being superstitious. But I have a hunch that they will rise tomorrow just because I wrote this post. It is like a position of yours moves higher right after it shakes you out. Ha Let's see...
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