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Comerica Incorporated (CMA): A Winner

Posted by Satuki On January - 22 - 2009

After yesterday’s big rally, the general market dipped a bit today due to some bad news from Microsoft. But there were opportunities on both sides.

FAZ, a triple leverage Financial Short Fund is my new pet now since it jumps up and down very fast. As I repeated many times, I like volatility. Only volatility can give me big movers. Stocks like Microsoft, IBM or Walmart are for investors who like to study reports and throw around PE or PEG numbers. I used to do that.

So how did we do today? Day trading was fantastic. Swing trading was also superb since all the losers were cut. Let’s go thought all my trades today. Look to your right. You will find Twitter Updates. If you flip through all the notes I posted today, you will see that FAZ was my first trade. My profit target for this stock is 7-8%. So right after I shorted it, it tanked quickly to 62.05. There was a quick paper profit of 4%. So I quickly moved my stop loss to the break even point. It reversed quickly and took out my stop. Some people might say you could scale out when you have a profitable position. I agree that scale-out is a good exit strategy. But I do not use it. I use “all or nothing” exit. According to my experience and testing, these 2 strategies are the same. There is no scientific evidence to prove which one is better.

FAZ

There is nothing about GS and MOS. They never spiked after I took the trades. They were both losers. So after 2 losers and 1 break-even(a small loser if you count in the commission and slippage), I called it a day. I can not take revenge trades. The market does not owe me anything. But in the afternoon, a perfect chart formed right in front of me. I just could not let it go. That was CMA. The chart formed 2 very round bottoms. So I took the trade. It worked out perfectly. I caught the top. But it was a planed exit + some luck. I never know how high/low a stock can go. But I do know what my risk-reward-ratio is. For my day trades, it is 1:3. So my stop loss for CMA was 2% and the target exit was 6%. I use OCO(order cancel order) right after an entry.

CMA

So I lost 2% on MOS, 0.5% on GS, 0% FAZ, and gained 6% on CMA. Minus Slippage & commissions, I was Net Up 3% for the day just because of that one winner. To sum it up:

  1. cut your losers
  2. hold onto your winners
  3. never hesitate when Mr. oppertunity presents himself.

15 consecutive profitable months is hard to believe,right? Check out "My Portfolio".

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  • Amy
    If there's one lesson I've learned in the past year is to cut my losers. My sense following a stock down, down down.
    .-= Amy´s last blog ..All About Dividend Investing: The Easy Way To Get Start =-.
  • @David, I caught only 5% that day when BAC popped 30%. I should have traded BAC instead of GS. I have a preference for high priced stocks. But it really should not matter as long as a stock is liquid. I will check out TNA and TZA you recommended.


    @Carol, Welcome. It was my first try at FAZ. It will take me a few tries to get used to it. The liquidity and volatility is what I love about FAZ. If I can trade it well, that will be the only stock I trade everyday.
  • Carol
    Hey there,
    I see you on Stocktwits, and followed to this lovely blog ... because yesterday you said

    "@lapra66 Yup, $FAZ is a big mover,target at least 7-10%. You never let a winner turn into a loser. I will explain this on my blog today"

    and since I have mangled my FAZ and FAS trades as many or more times than I have profited, I was hoping to catch such pointers.

    Thanks for your contributions!
    -Carol
  • David
    Hi Satuki,

    On Jan. 20th the you posted the following on your Twitter account:

    "Bottom Fishing Banks ($GS ,$WFC & $BAC). Or Fade FAZ if u r into shorting. May take a few tries."

    The next day BAC had a 30% gain. ^O^

    Here are two other leveraged index funds from "Direxion":

    Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA)
    Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (TZA)

    The underlying index that the TZA and TNA is linked to is RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (^RUT). As TRIPLE LEVERAGE funds they make the upside profit potential incredible -- in theory. :O)

    A note from my broker regarding sales and taxes on gains for these funds:

    "If you own the position you want to SELL BEFORE the “X DIVIDEND” date.

    "If you want to BUY the position, you want to BUY ON or AFTER the “X DIVIDEND” date."

    Cheers,

    David
  • Nice trade on CMA. I like the way how you cut your losers and let the winners run.
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